CASTLEGAR NEWS, May 1, 1983 A Viable Alternative Vote for: — anend to confrontational politics — open and accountable government — equal representation of all individuals For Government That Works VOTE LIBERAL ROYAL BANK. SA YS TORONTO (CP) — Can- ada’s largest bank has offi- clally pronounced the reces- sion over while forecasting strong economic — growth, moderating inflation and fall- ing interest rates over the next year. In its latest monthly econ- Aluminum Sheets 242"x36" 1 to 12 — 75¢ Each COCCH i A g Sergio C. 13 to 24 — 60€ Each 25 or more —50¢ Each CASTLEGAR NEWS, 397 Columbia Avenue Castlegar omic Feport, the Royal Bank of Canada says when all the figures are in, the first quar- ter of 1983 has likely seen a healthy rebound in produc- tion, “ending the longest and deepest recession in Canada's post-war history.” Based on the latest data for retail sales and housing starts, domestic demand ap- pears to be rising earlier and faster ‘than previously. ex- pected, the bank says. With the sharp reduction in in- ventories in the final 1982 quarter, this renewed de- mand suggests a healthy re- bound in production in the just-ended first quarter. “From its trough at the end of 1982, real gross na- tional product is expected to rise five per cent through the fourth quarter of 1983,” ‘the Econoscope report’ says. “Our forecast for real growth for 19883 has been raised to 16 ts cent and 4.5 per, cent for 1! The b bank also predicts in- flation will fall to below seven per cent by late this year as the federal. government's wage restraint program takes hold ‘and slack demand and continued high unem- ployment keep a lid on indus- trial prices and wages. However, Canada’s infla- tion rate is likely to remain above..the four- to five-per- cent rate in the U.S. In addition, the Royal forecasts U.S. interest rates could fall further in the next Recession officially over fow months, with the ‘US. prime ‘lending rate possibly dropping to between nine and 10 per cent by the fourth quarter. The current U.S. prime is 10,6 per cent and the Canadian prime 11 per cent. e Spurred by lower mort- gage rates,’ housing starts will jump to 165,000 this year and 185,004 in 1984, following a low of 80,000 in 1982. e The Canadian dollar will remain’ about the 8l-cent (U.8.) throughout the year. e The recent cut in the world oil price will increase economic growth in the Western industrialized coun- tries by more than one per cent higher than otherwise expected next year. Safeway arden Supplies - - . for the Best Blooming Garden in Town Bedding Plants d Fi Sand Vi ee weed eee e cece rece eee 99° | Geraniums $ 9 49 4" Pot... cece ee level on average. ALASKA FISH FERTILIZER 5-1 100% organic. "$7 For use indoors or out. wil pot burn i used a: {ethos dog. Free. A ‘great organic soil conditioner 10kg Later’s Fish Fertilizer 2 Litre Size decoration of flower: All Purpose Plant Food 20kgbag......... No. 1 Grade. Pa ked-in U.S. Bush o Climbers pee: Onion Sets 99° Lush, green Lawn fertilizer. 20kgbag... Dutch Yellow AGRICO LAWN FERTILIZER 12-8-8 All Purpose Vegetable Food AGRICO . GARDEN = ¢ 4-10-10 me § Good Selection of Beautiful Cedars, Junipers and 2-Year-Old Fruit Trees at Competitive Prices New pulp area for. the West Kootenay VICTORIA (CP) — A new pulpwood area in southeast- ern B.C, has been dosignated by Forests Minister Tom Waterland. Waterland said in a pre- pared release that he now is recieving proposals on how best to use the area's avail- ‘able pulpwood and wood residues not now being wsed. “Lam inviting proposals for the practical and economical utilization of surplus wood fibre from this area — pulp- wood, logging residues and mill residues such as wood, chips, slabs, edgings, saw- dust, shavings and hog fuel — everything that is now moved toa mill or is left over after logs have gone through a sawmill,” he said. A spokesman for the min- istry’s timber management branch said when an area of the province is designated a pulpwood area, licenses b2- “come available for the har- vesting of fibre chips used in the marking of pulp. Waterland said consider- ation will be given to prop- osals “from new companies and from companies already in the wood processing busi- ness who plan to continue present operations, to ex- pand existing plants or to es- tablish new facilities.” The deadline for submis- sions for the licences is Aug. 7. The release said the move is the result of a ministry study which examined poten- tially available wood fibre resources of southeastern B.C., compared with the re- quirements of existing plants, “After analyzing the fibre resources of three major supply units, designated as Kamloops, West Kootenay and East Kootenay, the . study concluded there will be . sufficent, fibre, available dur- ing the next 40 years.to.sup- ply additional processing fac- cilities in each of the three units.” Billy Carter reformed Billy Carter says he prob- ably would have died from boozing if his family, in- cluding his brother, former president Jimmy Carter, had not put strong pressure on him to quit. Saying he was once “the most famous drunk in the United States,” Carter said he believes that without fam- ily pressure he probably would have “flat sat there and drank myself to death.” Carter, 46, spent several weeks at the U.S. Navy's al- coholism treatment centre in California in 1979 and now lives in Waycross, Ga, ASTER FLOWERS OF HOPE For the Kootenay Society for the Handicapped Donations may be mailed or put in the GARBATHON . . » Members Secondary School s sanior band with the more t of the Stanle: Humphries Castlegar in their annual'cam han 300 bags students first took pledges and they collected the garbage aign against litter. The of garbage they collected from the streets and highways of in order to raise money for school. band trips. TORY LEADERSHIP RACE reey ce Delegate deadline t : MONTREAL (CP) — Today the curtain rings down on the first act of what has been the one of the most ene “falling BOSTON (AP) — New FBI statistics showing a two-year decline in violent crime in the a Clark “0 bulling their way cancelled at the last minute by ® ys, mark a'trend that could into a. meeting back tragic-comic political Quebec has eara, : ,..,May 1 is the, official cut-off date for the choice of delegates .for the Progressive Conservative , leadership ‘convention that opens June 8 in Ottawa. t » But as if to underscore the messy month-long battle for delegates, mainly between the organizations of Joe Clark , and Brian Mulroney, the deadline has ween extended five days to allow the recalling of a number of contested selection meetings. About 660 delegates have been elected to date in 75 riding meetings and about 60 young Tory campus clubs. Both sides are claiming victory. - Clark's organizers say they have managed to deflate Mulroney's claim that he would end up with the ‘over- whelming majority of Quebec delegates, Mulroney’s team says he has the backing of slightly more than 60 per cent of the chosen delegates. MULRONEY FALLS SHORT Mulroney's figures are a far cry from the estimate made by his Quebec campaign director Ronald Bussey midway through the campaign. Even after Bussey failed to win.a delegate slot in his home riding of suburban Duvernay, he insisted Mulroney would pick up 80 per cont of the total delegation. at ‘The process has largely been'a cqntest oforganizational, “ahd in-sonte ‘tases; physical mmtle, mutt of tt played out before the national media and often to the embarassment of ‘some Quebec Tories. d_ riding id a Mulroney supporter er spitting on a- Clark organizer at another meeting and | last 5 Heende as, tho: | aby. boom”. generation ages and children ‘clutching ballots at late-night gatherings. there are fewer adolescents Older bands philosophically called the tawdry scenes to commit street crimes, a “political folklore,” a-glimpse of Quebec's rough-and- tumble criminologist says. Pacis eek poeaged ‘The trend ‘could “mean QUITS THE RACE smaller’ prison populations, One source close to former party president and leader- ship contender Peter Blaikie ‘said Blaikie’s decision to’ pull out, of the race last week was: partly.’ ‘influenced by the delegate selection shenanigans, University. . % . “He was sickened by it,” she said. ‘The FRI said‘in.a depart Other candidates and party officials did their best to issued last week that figures slough. off criticism of the meeting stacking tactics and from police ‘departments contended that the party’ ‘a ill-defined and lax rilles were not throughout the country being broken. , showed:a four per cent drop ‘k said “politics isn’t a tea Party,” and members of- in serious crime in 1982 from the nal ional’ called'the the previous year, the sharp- of h oe + est decline in’ the past five Federally, until now, ‘Quebec’ voters have remained years.. The decline included faithful to Prime Minister Trudeau and the Liberals. In the — both violent crime and crimes 1981 general election, ‘the Tories only managed to elect one | against property. Quebec MP, Roch LaSalle, and win 12.6 per cent of the “It's very simply a matter Popular.yote. 4 ts. ete : +. of numbers,” said Fox, 9 Bae = Z duced > apprehension ‘about the threat of crime,t! James Fox of Northeas rn N78 book Forecasting. Cr: “Data; predicted a decline in crime this decade. “Those between the ages of 14 and 21 and~Mulroney : or at. tempting to hold their delegates in line until the Se Oe ae during what's known among: the backroom organizers as the iB period. Inth to pack gs for either or Clark, organizers trotted out residents of a Montreal hostel for derelicts, a soccer team, a majorette corps, and here and there, a ‘few “teeny Tories" as young as nine-years-old. Teachers try sized picture books a whole class can see and enjoy. Their two-year-old company, Class Size Books Ltd., now boasts COQUITLAM (CP) — Reading theories come and go, but two local Grade 1 teachers. believe they have’ commit a disproportionate amount — about half — of street crime.” Fox said the surge of crime in the 1960s was attributed to social ills ranging from drug abuse to the decline of the family and the impact of the Vietnam war. But he said all other. causes are overshad- owed by demographics — the However, Clark and Mulroney workers are confident there will be few changes of allegiance or defections from the two camps. new method Not that old-fashioned “phonics” are ignored. But phonics taught without meaning — the cat-sat-mat syndrome — may rob reading merely memorizing, not learning to read. But Wain- man, & teacher for 20 years, post-war baby boom created disagrees. a large number of adoles- fewer police officers and re- ’ found one undeniable truth. . Children have to want to learn to read the material presented to them, say Mar- garet Wainman, who teaches at Eagle Ridge elementary school in this Vancouver suburb, and Wendy Kooy- man, from Kilmer elemen- tary in nearby Port Coquit- lam. “Billions of dollars have been spent trying to find the right way to teach reading,” says Kooyman. “But’ the meaning of a story is the most important thing. “The most important skill we gan teach is to. love books,” she says. . To this end, the women produce “big books,” giant- nine titles and “we expect to break even soon,” Wainman says. Basing their theory on the work of reading experts such as Don Holdaway and Frank Smith, the two contend that of its purpose, they contend. As Wainman puts it, “If you can't get anything out of reading, you're not going to learn to read.” Critics. of this so-called “Ifyou really think about it cents at that time. deeply, -you know there's more to reading than just showed: that unemployment ‘sounding out,’” she says. has little impact on the crime Norm Duncan, Vancouver rate. Crime dropped during school board's reading con- the Depression, he said, and sultant, says big books are an increased in the 1960s, a per- diti to any iod of low unemployment. children who are fe by books and their contents will learn to read easily. With enjoyment in mind, both teachers emphasize “reading strategies” . more than reading skills in their classrooms, “Instead of ‘sounding out? a word the child doesn't un- derstand, he's encouraged to try to figure out the word from its context,” Wainman SHOWTIME "ap. proach argue pupils are reading program. Inflation affects crime stat- PRICE BREAKTHROUGH THE ONLY BED IN THE WORLD THAT OFFERS GENUINE, PATENTED CYCLO-MASSAGE UNITS! ® GIGANTIC ADJUSTABLE BED. AS SEEN ON T.V. REG. SALE Fox said his research also~ Violent crime is. in U.S. istics, but mostly in the area of property crime, he said. As the baby boom gener- ation grows up, “most out- grow assuultive behavior and stealing cars and there are fewer adolescents to replace :_.them,” Fox said. ‘ “You have to be wary of politicians who take credit,” he said. “People are going to say the death penalty is working and that mandatory sentencing did it, but this trend was going to happen anyway.” As the generation moves into the world of business, there will be an increase in such white collar crimes as forgery, embezzlement and __ computer theft, Fox said. Fox also expects a decline in the: prison population by the 1990s as baby boom-era criminals finish their sen- tences, and “around the mid-80s we may atart feeling safer and start cutting back on police.” CASTLEGAR NEWS, May 1.1983 B7 BONNETT'S Boy's & Mon's Wear firme 365-6761 = WE OFFER ‘10 % 0 OFF ALL CASH HASES. 233 célomber Ave., Castlegar Correction Shopper's Drug Mart Moi Ss ti le dat: 2, 1983 to May 8, 1905, Page 9 Brut 39 stick decderant reg- end extra strength 75 g. should read $1.99. this error We for any moy ive gaused, . CLEAN COTTON RAGS — WANTED — Cauitesie News 197. Columbia Ave. LOAN-OUT CAMERA "The Castlegar News has two simple-to- operate’ loan-out cameras (complete with film) which it is pleased to. allow groups to use for taking pictures for use by the Castlegar News. Arrangements for the use of these “-cameras should be made through our News Department at 365-3517. 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