the It’s still early days for judgment, but there are signs that, unfortunately, the answer might be yes. Ib 1981, the g brought down a budget under then finance minister Allan MacEachen that emphasized restraint to fight when it saw as the No. 1 economic problem, inflation. The timing could not have been worse. : At that time, Canada was into the start of the worst recession since the 1980s and, with the benefit of hindsight, restraint was the last thing the economy needed. Combined with the effeets of the recession, it helped push unemployment up to nearly 13 per cent. Overall, in 1982 Canada’s total wealth as measured by output of goods and services declined by 4.4 per cent. And that's after allowing for inflationary increases in prices, which the budget had been designed to fight in the first place. COST HIGH It's true that inflation was brought down, to 5.8 per cent last year from 10.8 per cent in 1982, but that was achieved only at a horrendous cost in jobs and the resultant loss to the Canadian economy as a whole. What did the latest budget from Finance Minister Marc Lalonde, presented Feb. 15, offer? Boiled down, it was a stand-pat effort, based on the premise that the economy is going to strengthen steadily. That would clear the path for sustainable if not spectacular expansion through the rest of this decade. Lalonde talked of five-per-cent growth this year — his department's projection was a bit lower, but the minister likes to round off figures — and 3.9 per cent annually on “This means we have a foot in the door. We could never hold a function like this with- economic way to ship a rela- such tively cheap as coal long distances, cannot load fully in American wa- ters, so thé topping off of American coal with Cape Breton coal to fill huge ships to the brim represents major i F i 5 i F Fears ES é average to 1988. New figures from Statistics Canada suggest, however, those forecasts might be too optimistic. They confirm that Canada’s recovery from the severe 18-month recession that started in the middle of 1981 slowed sharply in the last three months of last year. That slowdown came after nine months of what were virtually boom times. A reduced rate of expansion had been anticipated. Instead, it was welcomed on grounds it would prevent inflationary pressures building up again. DECLINE ABRUPT The decline, however, proved more abrupt than many experts had forecast. So the question now is whether the key factors on which Lalonde bases his hopes will be realized. These include a £ of di a healthy U.S. economy to support Canadian exports and strong growth in business investment in new plants and equipment. The latest StatsCan report, however, throws into question the prosp: for and business investment. Economists south of the border are raising doubts about the durability In view of these of the U.S. recovery. some of the pi of the latest budget might also find themselves in the doubtful class. Tourist business booms in Hawaii VANCOUVER (CP) — The tourist business was so busy in Hawaii last month that at number is expected to equal 1982. “I think the improving one point a party of tourists had to sleep in a hotel ballroom, says Karen Irvine, supervisor of reser- vations and operations for A ile Association Hol- y hing to do with the boom so far this year. It’s improved to the point where people seem to have more confidence in idays. Bert Ollivier, the Vancou- ver spokesman for the Haw- aii Visitors Bureau, said the worst day was Feb. 12 when Hilton Hotels over-sold 1,000 rooms because of a computer error in its mainland central reservations system. In desperation, Hilton was offering guests at its Hilton Hawaiian Village, in Waikiki, $250 a head to check out. Many took the money and flopped elsewhere, or rented cars to sleep in. The result was that car rentals also sold out. “It's the busiest Hawaii has been for 15 years,” said Ir- vine. “But this week it has lev- elled out. The hotels are still running 100 per cent full, but they are no longer over- booked.” Ollivier said 1964 is “start- ing to look like a real win- ner.” He predicted the number of Canadian visitors to Haw- aii could top 800,000 for the first time sinee 1979. In 1982 there 263,325 Canadian vis- itors, up slightly from 251,946 in 1961. Ollivier said 1983 statistics are not available yet, but despite a 26 per cent decline their ‘cake’ money.” He said vacations are the last thing people give up in tough times, but in the last two years Hawaii lost busi- ness to Mexico because of the plummeting value of the peso. Most industry spok 40% OFF ROYAL ALBERT the Way The Bay's Royal Albert sale is the one china collectors wait for. Right now, we're offering nine of our most popular open stock patterns at a fabulous 40% off. Royal Albert fine bone china is famous for its beauty and durability. Featured here, the ‘‘Lavender Rose’” pattern. Patterns now available in all stores: Old Country Rose, Celebration, Petit Point, Memory Lane, Lavender Rose, Val D’or, Dogwood, Sweet Violets and Tranquility. ‘Special orders for these patterns will be taken in all branch stores, in the event we do not have them in stock. Special orders will also be taken on Brigadoon and Silver Maple, in all stores. 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Irvine said part of the problem last month was that many travellers who bought cheap standby tickets in the United States took a chance on finding a hotel, adding to the crush. “What the Hilton chain did when it discovered it was so massively over-booked was to approach all other hotels to see what other rooms they could scoop up,” Irvine said. “Tour operators with real estate connections were even contacting real estate agents trying to book people into unsold condominiums.” She said it is normal for hotels in Hawaii to book 412 per cent of capacity to allow for no-shows and cancella- tions, a tactic known in the trade as “the over-booking wash.” After the Hilton incident, the wash disappeared, she said, but it returned this LOOK NOW! 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WATCH FOR OUR PRE BAY DAY SPECIALS Monday to Saturday 9:30 a.m. to 5:30 p.m. Thursday and Friday 9:30 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. Hudsons Bay Company Credit Union MIDGET TOURNAMENT . . . Trail Bantam Rep goalten- der Darren Lloyd scrambles for puck during game against Nelson Midgets Saturday. The game was part of a six-team tournament being held at arena com- plex this weekend. The final day of action got under- way at7 a.m. this morning. CasNewsPhoto by Chery! Colderbonk NHL ROUNDUP North Stars edge Flyers. BLOOMINGTON, MINN. (AP) — Paul Holmgren played his first game against Philadelphia after nearly eight years in a Flyers uniform, helping Minnesota North Stars in their 4-3 National Hockey League victory over the Flames. The victory clinched a playoff spot for the North Stars of the Norris Division, marking their 11th appearance in the Stanley Cup playoffs. The victory also d y Terry O'Reilly, completing a fine play by Craig MacYTavish, made it 4-0 at 3:06 of the third period before Chris Nilan and Larry Robinson made things respectable, scoring for Montreal at 9:24 and 11:13 respectively. ‘ MAPLE LEAFS 4 RED WINGS 3 TORONTO (CP) — Stewart Gavin scored on a ‘8 winning streak to four — the third time this year they have won four in a row. - Holmgren, just recently acquired by Minnesota, set up the first North Stars goal seconds into the first period. It was a lead the North Stars never gave up. Holmgren broke down from the blue line and sent a pass to Al MacAdam in the slot to score the North Stars at 25 seconds into the period. Neal Broten padded the North Stars lead by 5:43 of the first period to make it 2-0. Broten passed to Craig Levie just before crossing the blueline. Levie then passed back to Broten, who knocked it past Philadelphia goalie Pelle Lindbergh. Philadelphia scored at 8:07 of the first period when Tim Kerr took a shot that defelcted off Dave Poulin’s skates and into the Minnesota neton a Philadelphia power play. In the seconod period, the two,teams traded goals and Keith Acton took a Brad Maxwell ‘ebound and scored for Minnesota at 8:49 on the power play. Brad h scored his third goal of the season at 17:39 on a slap shot from just inside th eblue line. Brian Bellows scored at 2:48 of the third period, taking his own rebound and knocking it past Lindbergh. Kerr scored a Philadelphia power play goal at 7:30 of the third period to end the Flyers’ scoring. Philadelphia pulled their goalie at 18:50 of the third period in an unsuccessful last-minute attempt to score. The North Stars now are 35-29-6 and the Flyers 35-24-10 and 1-4-0 in their last five games. They're in fourth place in the Patrick Division. BRUINS 4 CANADIENS 2 MONTREAL (CP) — Rick Middleton fired his 42nd and 43rd goals of the season and Barry Pederson collected three assists as Boston Bruins handed Montreal a 4-2 defeat Saturday night. With 18,086 — the largest crowd of the season — looking on, the Canadiens suffered their 33rd loss, tying a single-season team record for futility. The last time the Canadiens had 33 losses was in the 1939-40 season. Middleton's first-period goal was the only scoring play of the game until the Bruins capitalized on a double minor to the Canadiens Guy Carbonneau for two power-play goals in a span of 1:25 just past the 13th minute of the middle period. While Carbonneau was off, Mike O'Connell and Middleton provided the Bruins with a three-goal margin. br 29 seconds into overtime as Toronto kept their playoff hopes alive with a 4-3 victory over Detroit. ‘Toronto's Borje Salming put Gavin into the clear behind the Detoit defence and the speedy winger drew the puck to his backhand lifted the puck over a sprawling Corrado Micalef for the winning goal. Rick Vaive scored his 48th goal of the season and assisted on goals by Russ Courtnall and Dale McCourt to send the Leafs to the third period leading 3-1, with Reed Larson having supplied Detroit's goal. Lane Lambert cut the margin to one goal at 1:18 of the third period and Kelly Kisio forced a 3-3 tie at 9:21. FLAMES 5 ISLANDERS 4 UNIONDALE, N.Y. (AP) — Mike Eaves’ second goal of the game, at 1:22 of overtime, lifted Calgary to a 5-4 vietory over New York Islanders, giving the Flames a sweep of their three-game series this season with the National Hockey League champions. Eaves concluded the first regular-season overtime contest ever at the Nassau Coliseum by taking a pass from Ed Beers, cut in front of the Islanders net and poked the puck past goalie Roland Melanson. Both teams got off to quick offensive starts, with the Flames grabbing a 2-0 lead in the first minute, then the Islanders scoring at 1:21. Former Islander Steve Tambellini's 50-footer bounced into the New York net off Melanson’s glove at 28 seconds. Just 31 seconds later, Steve Bozek put a short shot between Belanson’s arm and body to make it 2-0. But Greg Gilbert knocked a backhander over sprawled goalie Reggie Lemelin 22 seconds after that for the Islanders. BLUES 6 DEVILS 5 ST. LOUIS (AP) — Rob Ramage rifled in his 12th goal of the season with 43 seconds remaining in the third period and scored on a power play at 3:09 of overtime, lifting St. Louis Blues from behind to a 6-5 victory over New Jersey Devils. * Ramage's winning goal came 61-seconds following 4 hooking penalty incurred by New Jersey Bob Podborski skiing | in final downhill By GRANT KERR WHISTLER (CP) — The original Crazy Canucks are having a reunion of sorts to pay tribute to one of their own. Ken Read, Dave Irwin and Dave Murray are at Whistler Mountain for today’s Molson World Downhill, the last competitive ski race for Steve Podborski of Toronto, one of the first Crazy Canucks of downhill racing. Podborski will join his former teammates in retirement after the last World Cup race of the 1983-84 season. “Are those guys all here?” Podborski said Saturday in jest. “I guess they just like downhill racing.” Podborski and the rest of the downhillers got a day off Saturday when the third training run was cancelled because of warm weather. The race is still scheduled for 10 a.m. PST today. Murray, who works for the Whistler Ski Corp., said he expects the course to be in good condition by rate time. “It's snowing lightly near the top and there's some rain falling,” Murray said. “But we anticipate no problems tomorrow with the use of chemical fertilizer to bring the temperature down on the course.” Podborski said he hasn't been distracted by the presence of so many close friends, who will be joined by former nationa downhill coach John Ritchie. “We're here to race,” Podborski said. “I'm here to ski fast and that means I'm going to have to work my rear end off. “People have been saying that I'm going to feel bad about retirement, but that’s the kind of thing that happens after you finish. I'm sure there will be a minor party Sunday night when it’s over.” Podborski, 26, a 10-year veteran of international com- petition, won the World Cup championship in 1962 and this year has one World Cup triumph — at Garmisch- Partenkirchen, West Germany. “When I get a chance to look back on my career, I'm sure I'll realize more about what is meant,” he said. “I've been doing it for so long now that it’s just racing to me.” SELLS CLOTHING Podborski already is a representative for the Sun lee Co. Ltd. of Calgary which produces a line of skij clothing. The favorites for today's ra Todd Brooker of Paris, Ont., and Franz Heinzer Gt SwitesYinnd, winners of the two official training runs Thursday and Friday over the 3,825-metre course Heinzer did the opening run in two minutes, 5.35 séconds and finished second Friday to Booker's faster clocking of 2:03.81 Podborski was fifth in the first run and 13th the second time down the icy 40-gate course with a vertical drop of 989 metres. Urs Raeber of Switzerland, the current World Cup leader with 94 points, fell the first day and sat out the second training run because of a sore back. He's expected to race today Erwin Resch of Austria is second with 91 points and Austrian veteran Franz Klammer, who is also expected to announce his retirement after the race, is third with 79 points. Podborski is fourth with 74 points, but he can't make up enough points to beat Raeber in the final race. A racers’ top five finishes during the 10-race season are used to determine the points standings. Werenick By IAN MacLAINE VICTORIA (CP) — Seeing is believing, so Ed Lukowich either has to be a believer or Ed Werenick plays with an Irishman’s luck. Lukowich, the veteran Alberta skip, made two uncharacteristic misses in the eighth end that allowed Werenich's defending champions from Ontario to steal two en route to a 6-8 semifina] victory Saturday at the Canadian men’s curling championship. Werenich, whose fortunes at the 12-rink, round- robin event took a sudden change the last few days, now goes after his second straight Labatt Brier in the championship game today against Mike Riley of Mani- toba. The victory over Alberta was the ninth win in the last 10 games for the Toronto Avonlea foursome, including tie-breaker victories over Arnie Dobson of New Brunswick on Friday night and Gary Bryden of Sas- katchewn — the latter a 7-3 decision earlier Saturday. Last year, Werenich downed Lukowich in the final at Sudbury, Ont., to win his first Brier and then went on to win the world championships in Regina. Werenich’s fortunes at the championship began somewhat erratically as the team road a roller-coaster circuit the first few days and as recently as Thursday were not counted on as contenders. Now only Riley's rink, which has been resting since Friday afternoon following its first-place finish after round-robin play ended, stands between Werenich and his second straight Brier title — the first time a rink has after title won concecutive titles since Don Duguid of Manitoba in 1971. ‘After counting two in the first end, Lukowich got the start he wanted. But he first seemed to find trouble with his red stones in the third end and Werenich had stones ‘on both sides of the button, one on four-foot ring and another on the opposite eight. ‘The Alberta skip attempted to bring his last shot inside the Ontario rock on the four-foot ring. Instead he wound up biting the button but exposed and Werenich came down with his last rock, punched the Alberta shot rock through and stayed in the rings to count three for a 3-2 lead. The Alberta skip again was frustrated by with seemingly irregular rocks in the eighth and ninth ends, and at one point exchanged stones with those wracked up on another sheet of ice. But the Ontario steal in the eighth proved the decisive edge as the Albertans were continually foiled by the Ontario front end from building up any sort of house in the 10th and Lukowich went out with a look dejection after again hogging his first shot in the final end. The all-star Brier teams announced before the semi- final game had Riley as skip with two Saskatchewan members — third Dale Graham and second Wilf Foss — and Ontario lead Neil Harrison. Werenich, whose rink finished 7-4 in the week-long event, was named to the second team where Richard Belyea of New Brunswick and John Ferguson tied for the third’s position, second John Helson of Manitoba and lead Brent Syme of Alberta. Lendl, McEnroe in final BRUSSELS (AP) — Ivan Lend] and American John McEnroe, the world’s top- ranked male tennis players, swept into the final of the $250,000 Belgian Open. d Th Hoffmeyer. The goal spoiled a standout performance by Devils goaltender Chico Resch, who kicked out 51 shots. St. Louis, twice overcoming two-goal deficits, trailed 2-1 after one period. Mel Bridgman scored two goals and Pat Verbeek had a goal and an assist for the Devils, who led 4-2 at the start of the third period. Mountain Sports leads series By CasNews Staff the Mountain Sports club a Mountain Sports Hut leads 3-0 lead after 25 minutes. Joe the Castlegar Commercial Antignani, Steve Simonen,. Hockey League champion- Brian Verigin, Bruce Mc- ship series 2-0 after opening Pherson and Ken Gorkoff the series against Williams collected assists. Moving this week with 7-4 In the second period, the and 11-2 victories. lead changed hands when ‘The third game of the best Doc Savinkoff got a hattrick of five series goes at 8:15 and Dave McKinnon scored final 7-4. fenceman Ken Carlson as- Mike Nevakshonoff scored sisted. two goals, while Walker and second and third goals, and Perry Klit got one apiece. Verigin scored once. Assists Getting the assists were, went to Joe Antignani with Dick Braun, Walker, Pino two, and Braun, Walker, Laurino and Verigin. Simonen and Gorkoff with In the second game played one each. Thursday night, ‘Nevakson- The third period saw Nev- off, Walker and Markin akshonoff get his fourth goal. p.m. Thursday night at the one goal to put Williams arena complex. In the first game, played Tuesday night, Dan Walker scored three goals’ to lead Mountain Sports to a 7-4 vie- tory over Mountain Sports. Walker scored two goals in the first period and Dan Markin scored one, to give Moving ahead 4-3. Al Conroy, Al Ackselson, Bob Keriéff, Terry Sander, ting four goals to make the scored for Mountain Sports in the first period, while Al Then Mike Schmitt replied for Williams Moving with his team’s second goal. Mountain Sports went on Simonen scored twice, Joe Antignani and Markin netted one goal each. omMas Hogstedt of Sweden 6-3, 6-1 Saturday while Lendl ousted fellow Czechoslovakian Tom- as Smid 6-1, 6-2. Lendl outclassed Smid in a match that lasted just over one hour. Smid, who is cur- rently ranked 17th in the world, often rushed to the net but was no match for LendI's clockwork drives and “If someone comes to the net all the time, it (making passing shots) gets easier,” said Lendl. Smid, who was soundly beaten by McEnroe in the final of the Madrid tourna- ment last week, did not ap- pear at the post-match press conference. “He was in no mood to talk,” said one tournament official. Lendl broke Smid’s service game in the second and fourth games to win the first set in 34 minutes, He took Smid’s service again in the came alive, briefly breaking Lend''s service after the lat- ter played a smash into Smid's forehand for an easy return. “J don’t think I played as well as I did a month ago,” said Lendl, who is recovering Coach OTTAWA (CP) — Andy Bilesky, who has spent 30 years making Trail a hotbed of Little League baseball, will be honored July 26 when he is inducted into the Can- adian Baseball Hall of Fame. Although the hall will be: located in Toronto's domed stadium when it is built, the ceremony will take place in Montreal, the home of Char- les Bronfman, who will be inducted as a game builder for his financigl support of Montreal Expos as Canada’s first modern-day major- league team. Bronfman's contribution ‘was mainly financial as maj- rity owner and board chair- ‘man of the 1969 Montreal en- first, third and fifth games of, fry in the National League. while Bilesky’s efforts were ‘on the field. from a recent knee injury. “Especially in the beginning, I wasn't serving very well.” Lend] hit three aces again- st only one for Smid. Hogstedt, a 20-year-old who had to qualify to enter the week-long tournament, and Smid each collected $13,000. The six-foot-three Hogste- dt, who is ranked 68rd, was no match for the second- ranked McEnroe. to be honored Bilesky, named to the B.C. Baseball Roll of Honor 1962, has coached Trail teams to eight provincial champion- ships, four national titles and in four appearances at the Little League World Series in Williamsport, Pa., he led his clubs to fourth-place fin- ishes in 1980 and 1961. Claude Raymond of St- Jean, Que., is probably the best known of three former players elected last month to the hall of fame. Raymond, an Expos com- mentator the last 13 years, won 46 games and lost 53 while building a 3.66 earned- run average in 12 years as a relief pitcher with Chicago White Sox, Houston Astros and Milwaukee Braves. He closed out his career with Montreal in 1971. Of less immediate memory are former players Goodwin (Goody) Rosen of Toronto and St. Thomas, Ont., native Jack Graney. Rosen, now in his 70s, went from Toronto playgrounds to star at centre field with Brooklyn Dodgers between 1987 and 1946. He hit a career-| 326 and was named National League all- star centre fielder in 1945. In 1946, he was traded to New York Giants and that day he hit seven for nine and drove in both winning runs in a doubleheader victory over the Dodgers. Graney joined Cleveland Indians in 1908 as a pitcher. But after two starts, man- ager uire moved the hitter into the outfield» beside legendary Tris Speaker.