‘ A2 CASTLEGAR NEWS, December 30, 1981 Stranded trio may be saved yet VANCOUVER (CP) — John Harrison and his two daughters may see a friend by Sunday, but they still don't know about the offer by Arizona yachtsman Law- rence Friend to rescue the three, stranded for more than three weeks by a tiny atoll in the Pacific Ocean. Harrison, 89, a former Vancouver industrial desig- ner, and his daughters, boat. Micki, 20, and Kristen, 13, failed to make their last scheduled radio call, so they're still unaware of Friend’s offer to take them to Honolulu. “There's no reason to wor- ry," Chief Petty Officer Bob Baeten of the U.S. Coast Guard in Honolulu said Tues- day. “It could be that the tide was too high for them to reach the small boat with the radio aboard. We expect to talk to them Wednesday.’ Polish talks continued from page’ Al economic refor.” The state- run television said the in- creases “will necessarily mean a rise in retail prices.” Earlier this week, the gov- ernment said meat and but- ter rations will be cut. Price increases and food shortages in the summer of 1980 led to nationwide strikes that launched Soli- darity as the first union in the Soviet bloc free of Com- munist party control. The union was suspended when Premier Wojciech Jaruzelski imposed martial law Dec. 13, ending 16 months of reforms. Reports quoting a member of Walesa’s family said the unien chief decided on Christ- mas Day to-begin talks with the military regime. ‘The negotiations were to have begun Monday, but it could not be learned whether they were under way. Soviets lash U.S. continued from page Al nounced he is banning sales of high technology, pipeline parts and other equipment to the Soviet Union, as well as delaying U.S.-Soviet grain talks and commercial airline flights. Reagan said the mea- sures are designed to punish the Soviet Union for what he called direct responsibility for the martial law ‘imposed on Poland on Deg. 13. In Tokyo, Japanese offi- cials were reported meeting to decide on a policy toward: the sanctions. Japan, a po- tential supplier of pipeline parts, might profit by seiling to the Soviets what they can- not buy from the United States. The United Sates imposed a grain embargo and other sanctions against the Soviets after they invaded Afghan- istan two years ago. Most western observers say the moves had little ef- fect except to hurt U.S. farmers. a» The Harrisons were stranded on the atoll Palm- yra, located 1,600 kilometres southeast of Honolulu, after s typhoon demasted their 13.7- metre trimaran. Since Dec. 7, they've sur- vived on a diet of fish, coconuts and supplies from Ray Landrum, the self- described caretaker of the is- land, who lives on a small When neither the Cana- dian nor U.S. governments could settle on responsibility or payment of costs for a rescue, Friend, of Scottsdale, Ariz., volunteered his ser- vices and his 10-metre sloop Friendly. Friend set out from Christ- mas Island, 804 kilometres south of Palmyra, and planned a four-day layover at Fanning Island before setting out for the final 241 kilo- metres to Palmyra atoll, said Baeten. “If he doesn't run into any bad weather, they can prob- ably expect him at Palmyra on Sunday.” Meanwhile, the Canadian consulate in San Francisco said Tuesday the Canadian external affairs department is ‘considering chartering a flight to the atoll to rescue the Harrisons. Vice-consul Harold Hick- man said the operation would cost $15,000 and involve flying out materials needed to repair the Harrison's tri- maran. Nerve gas bomb. base for Britain? WASHINGTON (REUT- ER) — Some Pentagon offi- ,,Clals are backing a proposal to base a new generation of U.S. nerve gas bombs in Britain, but the Defence De- partment says no formal rec- ommendation has been put forward. An army official said the Pentagon's Defence Science Board wants the new bomb deployed in Britain partly because of concern that West. Germany would resist de- ployment of any new chem- ical weapons on its soil. “The (board's) preferred way would be to base them on Great Britain,” Amoretta Hoeber, assistant deputy army secretary, told Reuters news agency during an inter- view on U.S. nerve gas re- search plans. The Pentagon issued’ a statement Tuesday denying the board has recommended deployment of the bombs in Britain. However, a Pentagon of- ficial who asked not to be id- entified said the statement was not necessarily a denial of Hoeber's remarks and noted that the text of a board’s report on chemical warfare was and (" 7 TRUDEAU, CLARK, LEVESQUE Political leaders face challenges By Roger Smith OTTAWA (CP) — The face of Canadian. politics may change dramatically in 1982 as three longti leaders, Demands that more be done to.help Canada’s stum- bling economy — plagued by dwindling production, rising and leader looking secure is the NDP's Ed Broadbent but even he had a scare during 1981. While celegsict toa facing challenges from friend and foe, could fade or be pushed from the scene, Pierre Trudeau, Liberal government has been battered by bad economic news and tumbling opinion polls, is expected to retire, although he has concealed his intentions with mischievous hints he might stay on to fight yet another federal election. Another election ‘need not be held until early 1985 but one could come much sooner, depending partly on when the prime minister steps down. If Trudeau retires within the next few months, as even some Liberals hope, there is an outside chance his suc- cessor would send Canadians to the polls before the end of 1982 or early in 1983. Meanwhile, former prime minister Joe Clark appears to be steadily losing ground ina determined but desperate fight to stifle caucus critics leading a guerrilla campaign to pry his grip from the Pro- gressive Conservative lead- ership. In Quebec, Premier Rene Levesque, under fire from Parti becois radicals, is whose _ high Toflation — will continye to beset the Liberal gov- ernment. Clark's future is less clear. PIERRE TRUDEAU Having survived a leadership test at a party convention last February, he appeared to win another reprieve in December when the party's next general meeting — and thus next leadership review — was set for early 1983. But days later, as whispers of dissension continued, Gary Gurbin, a low-profile but 11 d bench could not be released. In London, Defence Sec- retary John Nott said he does not think the United States will seek to deploy nerve gas bombs in Britain. The Opposition Labor party and anti-war campaig- ners pledged strong resis- tance to any move to deploy the chemical bombs, which kill in minutes. “We are appalled at the suggestion that the Ameri- cans wish to stockpile deadly nerve gas in Britain,” said Denzil Davies, the Labor party’s defence spokesman. He said the party will de- mand an assurance in Par- liament from the Conserva- tive government that it will reject any such U.S. request. $1% million taken in Quebec robbery TROIS-RIVIERES, QUE. (CP) — Three gunmen es- caped with $1,125,000 in cash Tuesday after forcing an em- ployee of an armored car firm to open the company vault while they held his wife hos- tage in a neighboring town. Police in this city of 60,000 located 110 kilometres north- west of Montreal described the heist as a “real pro- fessional job.” “We believe the gang, _probably five in all, included a local criminal who acted as their spotter, and spent a month planning the rob- bery,” said Inspector Nor- mand Rouette. The three bandits, wearing masks and uniforms similar to those of armored car guards, met Laurier Joly, as- sistant manager of Alliance Blinde Ltd.,-as he left his house early Tuesday. They forced him back in- side, ordering him to wake his wife, Raymonde, and have: her get dressed. She was led into one of two vans Post-Holiday ¢. , Super Savings. ;, Many Special Xmas Items . . . waiting outside, while her husband sat in his own car with one of the gunmen. The vehicles set off in a convoy, with the van contain- ing Mrs. Joly. Record rush on. adultery ATHENS (CP) — A record number of 140 charges of adultery wore tabled in Athens courts recently by persons anxious to have their spouse charged before adul- tery ceases to be a criminal offence in-Greece. The new. Socialist g an- threatening to resign unless the party endorses his prop- osed route to independence. LEADERSHIP VITAL The leadership questions are vital. Not only is the party chief a key factor at the polls, but if the party is in power he or she puts a stamp on policies that bear directly on everything from .govern- ment help for the poor to the price of gasoline. Perhaps more important, political leaders have a hand in the future of the country itself.” For example, if Trudeau and Levesque — whose long rivalry became even more in- tense during the constitution debate — were to retire, relations between Quebec and‘the rest of the country might be markedly altered. Leadership aside, storm signals ahead belie the sur- face calm that settled over Canadian politics in the wake of settlements to the bitterly divisive arguments over en- ergy and a new constitution. Amid plans for champagne parties and a visit from the Queen to celebrate patriation of the new constitution, prob- ably in February, the great- est threat of political turmioil in 1982 is Quebec's continu- ing opposition to what will be the country's foremost law. On the federal-provincial scene, the main conflict will centre on federal plans to re- duce equalization payments to the poorest provinces and to slow increases in funds paid to all provinces for pro- grams such as post-second- ary education. The haggling over the im- portant but dull business of “fiscal arrangements” started at two meetings dur- ing the last two months be- tween Finance Minister Al- nounced the abolishment of a law which carries up to one year's imprisonment for adul- tery. It will take two or three months to pass through par- liament. lan hen and his pro- vincial counterparts. It likely will accelerate at the first ministers’ confer- ence on the economy, ten- tatively planned Feb. 2-3 in Ottawa. resigned from caucus be- cause he wanted the leader- ship question cleared up sooner. Some Toronto Tories formed a national committee to push for an earlier leader- ship vote. The campaign against Clark has been characterized party Van- couver endorsed a leader- ship, 87 per cent opposed his support for the Liberal gov- ernment’s original constitu- JOECLARK tional package. ., Levesque's current trou- bles started at a PQ con- vention in December where delegates approved several resolutions too radical for the 4 } , Mu Widely’ eriticized for mas- sive changes to the tax sys- tem in“his Nov.712 budget, MacEachen waited until the final hour of the final Com- mons sitting of 1981 to try to diffuse the political heat by announcing a retreat on 17 items. RENE LEVESQUE That ‘wasn't enough to spare him opposition wrath. The New Democrats, while praising MacEachen's flex- ibility, want him to ease the premier, luding one to drop the party plank of econ- omic association with the rest of Canada and push solely for independence. The 59-year-old PQ chief Lr ene to quit unless the fight against inflation and i the The Tories want the minister's resignation. Amidst concern over the economy, the media spotlight will continue to flicker on dership, both because of Peas decisfons in ia its importance and because of the pol- special While his stature as share founder is certain to win him his way, Levesque has alien- ated both radicals and some moderates who feel he has by calls to reporters, divulging details of bickering at private caucus meetings. Clark sup- porters, with no public op- ponents to swing at, argue a minority within the party is continuing a gutless, faceless get-Clark offensive. But Gurbin's surprise de- fection ‘suggests the view of discontent runs deeper than Clark is willing to admit and promises that questioning of Clark's position will continue in the new year. Critics fear that despite polls putting the Tories ahead of the Liberals for the time being, Clark cannot win another election. WOULD HURT PARTY But the 42-year-old Al- bertan, who won praise for his fight against the govern- ment’s original constituional proposals, argues an early leadership convention would divide and knock the party “right off the ice.” “I firmly believe I'm the best person the party could find,” he said in an interview before his latest setback. The only federal party hed the party's demo- cratic ways. The two main issues on the federal political scene during 1981 were energy and the constitution. The year-long battle over energy prices, plaugued by angry rhetoric, production cutbacks. and uncertainty hanging over huge projects in the West, ended in Sep- tember with a deal between Ottawa and Alberta. That cleared the way for similar deals with Saskatchewan and British Columbia. The constitution fight — one of the hardest fought, politically intriguing battles in Canadian history — will finally end early in the new year when Britain gives final approval and the Queen comes to Canada for patri- ation ceremonies. When Parliament resumes Jan. 25 after a five-week Christmas break, the favorite opposition target is certain to be Finance Minister Allan MacEachen, unless a widely rumored cabinet shuffle puts him in another spot before then. INTEREST RATES Russian EDMONTON (CP) — Fore- casting interest rates for 1982 is a game of chance, and anyone's guess, say financial experts. They say the interest-rate roller coaster that zoomed and plunged through this year may continue its erratic course. - “It’s like Russian roulette,” says Derek Warren, chair- man of the Alberta Trust Companies Association. “De- positors and lenders are say- ing, ‘no’ to short-term rates. They're waiting to see if rates will change.” Warren refuses to make a prediction, except to say he expects rates to stay three or four percentage points above inflation. If inflation runs about 13 per cent, as it has this year, that would make the interest rate 17 or 18 per cent. Bob Splane, president of Edmonton's Canadian Com- merical Bank, says - there could be wide swings in ie rates. “If the government doesn't react to the recession and lets the cycle go through its phase, I can see rates flat- tening out at 18 or 14 per cent,” he says. “But the government could become frightened, spend roulette money and rates could soar to 25 per cent.” Splane says the latter case is less likely than the former. Warren says the rates de- pend on Ottawa. INTEPRET POLICY “You have to interpret what Canadian government policy is likely to be,” he says. “The answer is: Who knows?” William Mulholland, chair- man and president of the Bank of Montreal, predicts a high of about 21 per cent for next year, with even higher levels the following year. Ed Kardosh, a branch manager for Credit Foncier Trust, would not be sur- prised by rates as high as last summer's 23 per cent. Don Lyons, president of North-West Trust Co., says interest rates could go to 20 per cent by next summer. Sid Owen, an Edmonton- based vice-president of Tor- onto Dominion Bank, says much depends on the re- action of the Reagan admin- istration in the U.S. If Washington continues its tough policies, rates could sink to around 15 per cent, he says. If the U.S. decides to stimulate the economy, rates could rise back to 23 per cent or higher. ities that surround it. Trudeau, 62, prime minis- Never one to reveal; se- cre{s, he has given few clues about when he plans to quit or what he plans to do, other than move to a recently renovated mansion in Mon- treal, travel and spend more time with his three sons — Justin, 10, Sacha, 8, and Michel, 6. But it’s a mug’s game to predict when he will make his move, unpredictability being one of Trudeau's most pre- dictable characteristics. He came to Ottawa in 1965, hoping that increased Quebec representation in the federal government would combat growing nationalism in his province. After the federalist side won the 1980 referen- dum on sovereignty-associ- - ation, he promised Quebecers a new deal in Confederation. Yet in the end, Quebec was odd province out’of the deal that produced the new con- stitution. Only time will tell whether Trudeau's efforts have done more to split the country than-pull it together. Betting on who will suc ceed Trudeau is as risky as guessing his departure date. One early scenario saw MacEachen taking over, tem-. porarily at least, to fulfil. the Liberal tradition of alter. nating anglophone and fran- cophone leaders.. But criti- cism of his budget, even from, Liberal colleagues, put a. damper on his aspirations for the top job. ‘THOUGHT FRONT RUNNER Justice Minister Jean Chretien, fresh from his suc- cess as the government's chief ituti ter since 1968, tirement plans to lead the Liberals to their 1980 elec- tion win after Clark's brief minority government was With a new constitution, his lifelong ambition, soon to be tucked safely in his poc- ket, Trudeau may now be ready to go. now ,is touted as a front- runner. Other likely candidates in- clude cabinet ministers John Roberts, Lloyd Axworthy, Yvon Pinard, Gerald Regan and Herb Gray; former ecab- inet ministers Donald Mac- donald and John Turner; and lawyer Paul Martin, head of Canada Steamship Lines. oa cag ; Goodbye Christmas ‘81 Hello to 1982. —sketch by Bob Smith _.... the Christmas _beason be filled with contentment and joy for you and your family. ANDERSON INSURANCE AGENCIES Castlegar, B.C. Christmas resplendant with old time pleasures? 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